Met Office win this month's "No Shit Sherlock" awards for stating the obvious...
(5 posts) (4 voices)
Ah yes, but they win the Nostradamus Award again:
Met Office 3-month Outlook
Period: April – June 2012 Issue date: 23.03.12
SUMMARY – PRECIPITATION:
The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period. The probability that UK precipitation for April-May-June will fall into the driest of our five categories is 20-25% whilst the probability that it will fall into the wettest of our five categories is 10-15% (the 197-2000 climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).
As a legacy of dry weather over many months water resources in much
of southern, eastern and central England remain at very low levels.
Winter rainfall in these areas has typically been about 70% of average,
whilst observations and current forecasts suggest that the final totals for
March will be below average here too. The Environment Agency advises
that, given the current state of soils and groundwater levels in these
areas, drought impacts in the coming months are virtually inevitable.
Bear in mind this was forecast mere days before April began. A complete waste of money? Better spent on reading tea leaves? You decide.
Have friend in Scotland who used to work for the Met Office, he told the amount of stick they used to get on their golf day when it rained was unbelievable
The point being that no matter how much money is thrown at the Met Office, they can't produce reasonably accurate forecasts beyond a few days.
The met office website used to give forecasts for up to two-weeks in advance, and 'seasonal' predictions; since the website has been redesigned, these are no longer available. Can’t help wondering why.
You must log in to post.